College football bowl projections: How chaos affects Alabama, Oklahoma and Ole Miss

With another week of regular season action, 77 teams have qualified for the postseason and two more are guaranteed with two 5-6 team showdowns this weekend.

That leaves only three bowl spots remaining among twelve other teams. It could be the first time in several years that the bowls don’t have to promote the 5-7 team with the best Academic Progress Rate (APR) to fill the field. Unfortunately, this means that several eligible teams could be eliminated from the postseason.

The Big Ten’s roster appears straightforward, while the SEC’s pool of available teams has expanded significantly with Oklahoma’s upset of Alabama. There are 13 SEC teams that have qualified for bowl games. Our prediction of three SEC teams in the CFP bracket extends to teams outside of the SEC’s bowl contracts. The ACC will have at least 12, maybe 13, bowling teams. The Big 12 has nine bowl teams, with two more competing for the postseason this weekend.

Implementation by current and former Pac-12 schools is a challenge for each of their contracted bowls and current conferences. Seven teams have qualified for the Pac-12 Legacy Bowls and another (Oregon State) has a chance to join them this weekend. The Alamo picks first according to the CFP and has no restrictions on the win-loss difference. Then the order is Holiday, Vegas, Sun, LA Bowl and Independence.

The power conference teams that clinched a postseason berth this past weekend include Nebraska, Florida (which upset Ole Miss), West Virginia and Oklahoma for the first time since 2016. We expect the Sooners to get a date with Boston College in the Gasparilla Bowl, which will serve as the opener for a first-round College Football Playoff game on December 20th.

This week, the Virginia-Virginia Tech winner earns bowl eligibility, while power conference teams Michigan State, Wisconsin, Auburn, NC State, Kansas and Cincinnati seek their sixth win.

A friendly reminder: Most non-CFP bows do not have to select their teams in order of conference placement.

College Football Playoffs

Bowl/Playoffs	Date	team	team	Location	Time (ET)	network
Play out	December 20th	7. Notre Dame	10.Indiana	South Bend, Indiana	8 p.m	ABC/ESPN
Play out	Dec 21	6. Penn State	11. SMU	State College, Pennsylvania.	Midday	TNT
Play out	Dec 21	5.Oregon	12 Boise State (G5 Champion)	Eugene, Ore.	3:30 p.m	TNT
Play out	Dec 21	8.Texas	9.Tennessee	Austin, Texas	8 p.m	ABC/ESPN
Fiesta	Dec 31st	4. Arizona State (Big 12 Champion)	Winemaker from Oregon-Boise St	Glendale, Arizona.	7:30 p.m	ESPN
peach	January 1st	3. Miami (ACC Champion)	Penn State-SMU winners	Atlanta	Midday	ESPN
rose	January 1st	1. Ohio State (Big Ten Champion)	Texas-Tennessee winners	Pasadena, California.	5 p.m	ESPN
Sugar	January 1st	2. Georgia (SEC Champion)	Notre Dame/Indiana winner	New Orleans	8:45 p.m	ESPN
Orange	January 9th	Quarterfinal winner	Quarterfinal winner	Miami, Florida.	7:30 p.m	ESPN
Cotton	January 10th	Quarterfinal winner	Quarterfinal winner	Arlington, Texas	7:30 p.m	ESPN
championship	January 20th	Semifinal winner	Semifinal winner	Atlanta	7:30 p.m	ESPN

Remaining bowls

Bowl	Date	team	team	Location	Time (ET)	network
Bahamas	January 4th	Ohio (MAC)	Freedom (C-USA)	Nassau, Bahamas	11 a.m	ESPN2
Duke’s mayo	January 3rd	Minnesota (Big Ten 6)	Virginia Tech (ACC 5-7)	Charlotte, NC	7:30 p.m	ESPN
First responder	January 3rd	Baylor (ESPN)	UTSA (ESPN)	University Park, Texas	4 p.m	ESPN
Gator	January 2nd	Duke (ACC 2-4)	Florida (SEK 3-8)	Jacksonville, Fla.	7:30 p.m	ESPN
Texas	Dec 31st	TCU (Big 12 4)	Missouri (Sec. 3-8)	Houston	3:30 p.m	ESPN
Citrus fruits	Dec 31st	Illinois (Big Ten 2)	Alabama (SEK 2)	Orlando, Florida.	3 p.m	ABC
Sun	Dec 31st	North Carolina (ACC 5-7)	USC (Pac-12 5)	El Paso, Texas	14 o’clock	CBS
ReliaQuest	Dec 31st	Iowa (Big Ten 3)	South Carolina (SEC 3-8)	Tampa, Florida.	Midday	ESPN
Music City	Dec 30	Nebraska (Big Ten 4)	Ole Miss (SEK 3-8)	Nashville, Tennessee.	2:30 p.m	ABC
independence	Dec 28	Army (AAC)	Kansas* (Pac-12 7)	Shreveport, La.	9:15 p.m	ESPN
Alamo	Dec 28	BYU (Big 12 2)	Colorado (Pac-12 2)	San Antonio, Texas	9:15 p.m	ABC
Military	Dec 28	Navy (AAC 2)	Georgia Tech (ACC 8-10)	Annapolis, Maryland	5:45 p.m	ESPN
Arizona	Dec 30	Colorado State (MWC)	Bowling Green (MAC)	Tucson, Arizona.	4:30 p.m	CW
Pop Tarts	Dec 28	Iowa State (Big 12 3)	Clemson (ACC 2-4)	Orlando, Florida.	3:30 p.m	ABC
New Mexico	Dec 28	New Mexico (MWC)	State of Texas (ESPN)	Albuquerque, NM	2:15 p.m	ESPN
Pinstripes	Dec 28	Michigan (Big Ten 5)	Louisville (ACC 5-7)	Bronx, NY	Midday	ABC
Fenway	Dec 28	Pittsburgh (ACC 8-10)	Memphis	Boston	11 a.m	ESPN
Vegas	Dec 27	Washington (Pac-12 4)	Texas A&M (SEC 3-8)	Las Vegas, Nevada.	10:30 p.m	ESPN
Vacation	Dec 27	Syracuse (ACC 2-4)	Washington State (Pac-12 3)	San Diego, California.	8 p.m	FOX
Freedom	Dec 27	Kansas State (Big 12 5)	LSU (SEK 3-8)	Memphis, Tennessee.	7 p.m	ESPN
Birmingham	Dec 27	Vanderbilt (SEK 9)	Tulane (ESPN)	Birmingham, Ala.	12/3:30 p.m	ESPN
armed forces	Dec 27	West Virginia (Big 12 7)	Arkansas (ESPN)	Fort Worth, Texas	12/3:30 p.m	ESPN
68 ventures	Dec 26	Georgia Southern (Sunbelt)	Western Kentucky (C-USA)	Mobile, Ala.	9 p.m	ESPN
rate	Dec 26	Michigan State (Big Ten 7)	Texas Tech (Big 12 6)	Phoenix, Arizona.	5:45 p.m	ESPN
GameAbove	Dec 26	Rutgers (Big Ten 8)	Miami of Ohio (MAC)	Detroit	14 o’clock	ESPN
Hawaii	Dec 24	Fresno State (MWC)	Jacksonville State (C-USA)	Honolulu, Hawaii	8 p.m	ESPN
Idaho potato	December 23rd	San Jose State (MWC)	Buffalo (MAC)	Boise, Idaho	2:30 p.m	ESPN
Myrtle Beach	December 23rd	James Madison (ESPN)	East Carolina (ESPN)	Myrtle Beach, SC	11 a.m	ESPN
Gasparilla	December 20th	Boston College (ACC 8-10)	Oklahoma (ESPN)	Tampa, Florida.	3:30 p.m	ESPN
cure	December 20th	USF (ESPN)	Marshall (ESPN)	Orlando, Florida.	Midday	ESPN
New Orleans	Dec 19	Louisiana (Sunbelt)	Sam Houston (C-USA)	New Orleans	7 p.m	ESPN2
LA Bowl	Dec 18	California (Pac-12 6)	UNLV (MWC 1)	Inglewood, California.	9 p.m	ABC
Boca Raton	Dec 18	UConn (ESPN)	Northern Illinois (ESPN)	Boca Raton, Florida	5:30 p.m	ESPN
Frisco	Dec 17	Arkansas State (ESPN)	North Texas (ESPN)	Frisco, Texas	9 p.m	ESPN
camellia	Dec 14	South Alabama (ESPN)	Toledo (ESPN)	Montgomery, Ala.	9 p.m	ESPN

Notes: (ESPN) points to an ESPN Events Bowl. Teams can be moved between them. An * indicates a replacement team because a league was unable to fill all spots.

(Illustration: Demetrius Robinson / The athletePhotos: Don Juan Moore / Getty)

College football bowl projections: How chaos affects Alabama, Oklahoma and Ole Miss

ByAmelia Journalton

By Amelia Journalton

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