Auburn vs. Alabama Prediction and Tips

The Auburn Tigers will face the Alabama Crimson Tide on Saturday at Bryant-Denny Stadium. The Iron Bowl begins at 3:30 p.m. ET.

The Crimson Tide are the favorites with a spread of 11.5 points and the total point total is 52.5 points.

Auburn (5-6 SU, 6-5 ATS and 5-6 O/U) defeated Texas A&M 43-41 last weekend. The Tigers are 2-5 in SEC play this season.

Alabama (8-3 SU, 6-5 ATS and 6-5 O/U) lost to Oklahoma 24-3 last Saturday. The Crimson Tide is 4-3 in conference competition.

The Alabama vs. Auburn rivalry series in college football dates back to 1893, when the Tigers won 32-22 at Lakeview Park in Birmingham. Bama leads the all-time series at 50-37-1 and has won four straight Iron Bowl games.

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Who will win this NCAAF matchup? Read more about our Auburn Tigers vs. Alabama Crimson Tide prediction!

Can the Tigers maintain their momentum against the Tide?

Auburn edged Texas A&M in a four-overtime thriller last Saturday when QB Payton Thorne connected with WR KeAndre Lambert-Smith on a two-point play to secure the victory. The Tigers led 21-0 early, but the Aggies fought back and matched the home team blow for blow. Ultimately, they didn’t have enough to beat Auburn, which had blown double-digit leads against both Oklahoma and Missouri.

“My feelings are hard to put into words right now,” Thorne said. “I’m still aiming so high. It was great. I didn’t know if they were going to storm the field or not and I turned around and a fan slapped me in the face and I was like, ‘Whoa, that’s pretty sweet.’ It was great.”

The senior Thorne leads Auburn’s passing game with 2,412 yards, 20 touchdowns and eight interceptions. He completed 63.4 percent of his passes, averaging 8.7 yards per pass. Thorne’s top receiving targets are Lambert-Smith (42 receptions for 865 yards and eight touchdowns) and freshman WR Cam Coleman (30 receptions for 520 yards and seven touchdowns). The Tigers’ running game is dominated by senior RB Jarquez Hunter (174 carries for 1,145 yards and eight scores).

Auburn averages 29.0 points (60th) and 432.2 total yards (31st), including 260.5 passing yards (34th) and 171.6 rushing yards (54th). It has allowed 58 tackles for loss (57th) and committed 20 turnovers (114th). The Tigers converted 41.0 percent of their third downs (56) and scored on 72.4 percent of their trips to the red zone (125).

The defense gives up 20.7 points (30th) and a total of 319.6 yards (24th) per game, including 209.1 passing yards (51st) and 110.5 rushing yards (20th). They lost 61 tackles (68th) and forced nine turnovers (126th). Auburn’s opponents convert 39.0 percent of their third-down attempts (64th) and score on 80.0 percent of their red zone trips (33rd).

Auburn Tigers Injury Report: There are no current injuries to report for Saturday’s Iron Bowl game against Alabama.

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Alabama is in a vulnerable position after last week’s performance

Alabama was upset by Oklahoma last weekend, losing by 21 points as a favorite with a 13.5-point spread. The Sooners defeated the Crimson Tide 325-234, forcing three turnovers on defense. Bama had 70 rushing yards on 30 attempts (2.3 YPC) in the impressive loss.

“Obviously extremely disappointed and frustrated,” Alabama coach Kalen DeBoer said. “We worked extremely hard all week, I thought.” Put a plan together… Good energy. I’m happy to come here. We have to play better. We have to get better in every way.”

Junior QB Jalen Milroe leads the Crimson Tide with 2,396 passing yards, 15 touchdowns and nine picks. He also ran for 615 yards and scored 17 points to lead the Alabama game. Milroe’s top receiver targets are freshman WR Ryan Williams (42 receptions for 804 yards and eight touchdowns) and junior WR Germie Bernard (39 receptions for 603 yards and two touchdowns).

Alabama is averaging 36.2 points (18th) and 419.6 total yards (41st), including 238.6 passing yards (52nd) and 181.0 rushing yards (41st). It has allowed 64 tackles for loss (84th) and committed 14 turnovers (50th). Bama converted 45.3 percent of its third downs (19th) and scored on 84.2 percent of its red zone trips (68th).

The defense gives up 17.5 points per game (11th) and 324.7 total yards (28th), including 181.2 passing yards (17th) and 143.5 rushing yards (62nd). They made 58 tackles for loss (81st) and forced 25 turnovers (2nd). The Tide’s opponents convert 33.7 percent of their third-down attempts (26) and score on 76.6 percent of their red zone visits (22).

Alabama Crimson Tide Injury Report: LB Deontae Lawson (leg) is out. No other significant injuries for Saturday’s Iron Bowl game against Auburn.

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Best bets for Auburn vs. Alabama

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We’ve got everything you need to know, including predictions, odds and analysis for Auburn vs. Alabama. Let’s get ready to dive in!

Prediction: Alabama -11.5

Overall selection for the entire game

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Auburn vs. Alabama Prediction: The point total will be under 53 in Saturday’s NCAAF Iron Bowl showdown in Tuscaloosa.

Alabama will lean heavily on Milroe and his legs against the Tigers. This has been the case in the last five games, as the lower team lost 4-1 there. Like Bama, Auburn likes to rely on Hunter to produce yards, which has resulted in four unders in the Tigers’ last six games. Considering Auburn hasn’t played a game with such a high point total since Week 4, it’s unlikely that this rivalry matchup will result in a high score. I expect the Tide to take an early lead and crush the visitors with their ground game, winning and covering while dominating time of possession.

Prediction: Below 52.5

Author profile

Michael Briggs, “Michael Briggs”

Because of an irresistible call to action, I dove headfirst into sports betting. I am a sports journalist by profession and received my BA in Journalism with a concentration in Sports Reporting from Michigan State University in 2012. With my journalism background, I combine in-depth research with a keen eye for hidden value to generate consistent profits for my clients. In my free time I like to do technical discussions with like-minded people. This allows me to look at different perspectives and avoid pitfalls that hinder my progress. In short, their insight and intuition help or hinder my decision-making process. The pitfalls to avoid in sports gambling are crowd following, assumptions, gullibility and lack of responsibility. A bettor is never as hot or cold as his best and worst periods. If you dedicate yourself to acquiring knowledge, you will never feel like you know everything. At its core, sports betting is about intuition. If you can predict which way the wind will blow, you will never feel like you are caught in the current. Sometimes you have to be counterintuitive. The risk is in the mind of the beholder, but when you bet with me you will find that the reward justifies the stake!

ByAmelia Journalton

About the author: Michael Briggs

Can the Tigers maintain their momentum against the Tide?

Alabama is in a vulnerable position after last week’s performance

Best bets for Auburn vs. Alabama

Side bet for the entire game

Overall selection for the entire game

By Amelia Journalton

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