Odds, predictions and best bets

UFC for 2025 is BACK!! And boy, did we leave you with a bang with our final article of 2024. We won all 3 + money games including a +200! Even though I can’t guarantee this for every item, it’s definitely my goal!

We finished the 2024 season with the worst card we’ve had in Tampa recently, so I was pretty excited to get back into the swing of things! In 2024 we benefited +34 units, with a +15% ROI and a hit rate of 56%! Let’s destroy the year 2025!

Dog of the night

If you haven’t become a fan and support what Trey Ogden has been doing lately in the UFC, you’re missing out! Although I’ve questioned him before fights in the past, he finds a way to win and he seems to improve every time we see him. This is a dog I want to support!

Thiago Moises was a good fighter who could support him until his last three fights. He loses 2 out of 3, and while the two fighters he lost to were very good, he seems to be slowing down a bit and not trending in the right direction. Ogden comes with a L5 record of 3-1-1 and he has the perfect recipe for a dog win!

I fully expect this fight to come out on top, both fighters like to attempt takedowns, and I expect Ogden to test Moise’s chin early and then test his physicality next. Ogden should be able to pin Moises to the mat and keep him there for three rounds. I don’t think Moises has the ability to do any damage to Ogden, and the only path to the finish I see is an assist from Ogden. Moises shouldn’t be a -175 favorite at this point!

Parlay of the night

Uros Medic might be my favorite look on the card this weekend. I don’t understand how he could have a problem with Punahele Soriano. Medic should be able to find him on his feet, and if for some reason he ends up on the ground, I trust Medic there even more!

Medic continues to impress me after picking up knockout victories following his two losses, which came against two very talented fighters in Orolbai and Turner. Of the 10 wins he has achieved in his career, all 10 have come by some type of finish, 8 KOs and 2 submissions.

Soriano does have some power in his hands, but I believe this is neutralized by the Medic’s speed and the power he himself has. If he catches or harms Soriano, I expect him to act like a shark and take down his prey!

Cesar Almeida is another fighter on this card who I don’t think will be in too much trouble. He gets the 39-year-old Alhassan and I think Almeida can do it. He’s an incredibly skilled kickboxer who knows distance well and can find it quickly. He has strength in his hands and legs and I trust him when he is defeated. Cesar can do it and maybe he can find a KO here!

Round prop of the night

Soriano’s plan in this fight should be to take him to the ground. I don’t think he has a chance of withstanding Medic’s constant punishment on his feet. Still, I find it hard to imagine Medic finishing early, Soriano isn’t that bad!

If Soriano can get it done at any point, that will certainly help him advance to the second round or later rounds. Soriano can also be taken out, and if Medic pulls that off, I expect them to stay down for a while too. I don’t see an early finish here and we should be careful to see a late 2nd place here!