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Stars vs. Kings prediction, tips and odds for tonight’s NHL game

The Stars and Kings are one of the best defensive teams in hockey, and their prowess on that end of the ice will be on display tonight in Los Angeles.

Neil Parker – Analyst at Covers.com

December 4, 2024 • 07:56 ET

• 4 min reading

Photo by – Imagn Images.

Two outstanding defensive teams take the ice at the Crypto.com Arena: The Dallas Stars will visit the Los Angeles Kings on Wednesday, December 4th.

Both Dallas and Los Angeles have been among the teams all season long, and our top Stars vs. Kings predictions have the two clubs finishing below that number again tonight.

Let’s take a look at the matchup with our NHL picks before puck drop tonight at 10pm ET live on TNT.

Stars vs Kings Prediction.

My best choice
Under 6 (-118 at Pinnacle)

My analysis

The Dallas Stars and Los Angeles Kings are two of the best defensive teams in the league. Both clubs have posted 9-12-3 and 9-13-3 O/U records against the Under this season while allowing the fourth and fifth fewest goals per game, respectively.

The Under has scored in eight of the last ten meetings between these teams since January 2020.

The 5-on-5 numbers for Dallas and Los Angeles also highlight the commitment to strong team defense.

5 against 5 Stars Kings
Corsi For Percent 52.8% (seventh) 53.6% (fifth)
Goals conceded per 60 2.1 (eighth) 1.98 (fourth)
Expected goals conceded per 60 2.48 (18.) 2.02 (first)
Team Savings Percentage .922 (11th) .915 (13th)

I also estimate Dallas’ fifth-place penalty percentage at 82.6, while Los Angeles is likely to show a statistical correction above its 16th-place 80% mark after posting a second-place PK percentage of 82.6 last year 84.6% had been recorded.

Of course, the Stars will also have No. 1 Jake Oettinger back between the pipes. With a save percentage of .915 and a GAA of 2.38, he was in top form all season, ranking seventh and fifth, respectively, among goaltenders with at least ten appearances.

Finally, the Kings have a home record of 8-2-1 but are allowing just 2.0 goals per game, and the Stars’ offense drops from 3.67 goals per game at home to 3.08 on the highway.

Stars vs. Kings – Match Parlay (SGP)

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Below 5.5

Wyatt Johnston Under 0.5 points

Kevin Fiala Under 0.5 points

Stars winger Wyatt Johnston is one game away from recording two goals and five assists in a six-game point streak, but he has otherwise been quiet this season. Johnston’s 1.87 points per 60 minutes is well below last year’s 2.8 mark, and while he probably expects a positive regression in the long term, this is an uphill battle.

It’s been a season full of ups and downs for Los Angeles forward Kevin Fiala.

He was a healthy player at the start of the year, and before scoring a goal and an assist in the last game against the Ottawa Senators, Fiala only collected a single goal and an assist in his last ten games. Additionally, he scored nine of his 16 points on the man advantage, and Dallas was one of the best penalty killing teams in the league.

Learn how to place a bet in the same game with these helpful tips and strategies.

Stars vs Kings odds

Stars vs Kings live odds

Stars vs Kings opening odds

  • Puck line: Dallas -1.5 (+211) | Los Angeles +1.5 (-252)
  • Money line: Dallas -120 | Los Angeles +107
  • Over/Under: Over 5.5 (-118) | Below 5.5 (+103)

Trend Stars vs Kings

The Los Angeles Kings have reached the Under total in 51 of their last 92 games (+13.55 units / 13% ROI). Find more NHL betting trends for Stars vs. Kings.

Here’s how to watch Stars vs. Kings

Location: Crypto.com Arena, Los Angeles, CA
Date: Wednesday, December 4th, 2024
Puck drop: 10:00 p.m. ET
TV: TNT

Current injuries to the Stars vs. Kings

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