The best scenario for the 2025 San Francisco Giants

Some seasons require a lot of imagination to develop a best case scenario. Some seasons take more imagination than human, and they catch themselves, and they say things like: “Firstly, we assume that Air Bud is real and wants to join the Giants. Second, we assume that Commissioner Manfred allows a dog to play in the major.

This is not one of these seasons.

You can persuade yourself in a best scenario for the 2025 Giants by adhering to reasonable potential results. You don’t have to dig deeply and imagine ridiculous scenarios, like a 2024 draft that skipped the upper minors to win the MVP. Not everything will depend on a 42-year-old pitcher who has a new career in Innings. It is about smaller individual victories, like players X who stays healthy, player Y, who repeats his production and takes a little step forward. By stacking adequate positive results together, you not only get a team that reaches the post -season. You get a team that convinces you that you belong.

The chances can quickly turn against an imperfect team. Imagine someone who turns a coin and gets three heads and four cocks in this order. You may even have done it yourself without realizing it. However, this exact permutation has less than a 1 percent chance of being able to perform. The chances of winning are 50-50, but if you stack the IF-Then scenarios, you will quickly lose yourself in the weed. That is why success and parades and team reunits for the 2025 Giants are not the most likely scenario every 10 years. At least a few players on the squad will need some percentages to achieve the post -season at all, and if you multiply the chances of several of the better results with each other, it quickly moves too unlikely.

Only know that at least the 2025 huge metaphorically turns coins around, and that is not the worst place. You don’t play Keno or a handful of 20-page cubes, with probabilities that don’t take much to get into a territory. Choose every player from the opening day and look at it through a reasonably optimistic lens and it makes sense. Here are a few players that I randomly selected, but you can play with everyone you want:

It is unreasonable that Casey Schmitt has an OBP and super utility of 0.350 to 400 bats. However, it is completely reasonable to hope that he can be a helpful player, someone who is worth a victory or something over a full season.

It is unreasonable to expect Christian Koss to be another Torres of the past few days and become one of the greatest surprises in baseball from the transaction participants. It is also completely reasonable to hope that he can be a useful supply player to win someone who helps the team.

A return of the 2021 version of “Late Night Lamonte” would help the Giants to reach a best-case scenario. (Jeff Chiu / Associated Press)

However, these are only the players on the edges of the squad. If you carry out the exercise for the expected regular guests, start jugs and high-quality reliefs, a reasonable best case scenario will focus on. It is unreasonable to expect that Lamonte Wade Jr. is one of the five best basema in baseball, but it is completely reasonable to hope that he does what he did last year, only with more bats and better health. It is unreasonable to expect Robbie Ray to win his second Cy Young, but it is completely reasonable to believe that it will be a better starting jug than many of the giants are confronted.

That is not The same as the question: “What if all bad and mediocre players are really good now?” If you want to do this for a team that is below and off, do it. You have examples from last season. The tigers were so far from the picture after the season that they exchanged their second best pitcher at the conclusion of the trade, and then they played amazing baseball in the past two months. The Royals went from one season from 56-106 in 2023 to 2024 after the season, and they did one of the largest individual seasons from a shortstop in baseball history and b) four starting jugs, which throw over a high level all season and stay healthy all season. If someone wrote a best scenario for her before the 2024 season and suggested that Michael Wacha and Seth Lugo would combine for 373 Innerings, 62 starts and a 3.14-e-Aera, they would be roasted in the comments. And they deserve it. It was ridiculous until it actually happened.

That is not what I ask you here. Which is good, because the Giants don’t play in 2024 Al Central, but the larger point is. It is possible that the Giants – conveniently, even – without Justin Belander 200 Innerings or Willy Adames dreamed of 40/40. Simply stack the potentially solid and productive seasons of players who are completely able. This type of parlays pass the teams every season.

It is not enough to have success stories on the squad. The giants also have to avoid disappointments. It would have been inappropriate to expect Heliot Ramos and Tyler Fitzgerald to do what they did last season, but they had done it, and if a time traveler had held them, they would have taken out a second mortgage to bet on the Giants that do the off season. In addition to Tairo Estrada, the strike zone completely lost, and Wilmer Flores was physically impaired and could not hit a lick. Jorge Soler and Blake Snell took months to get started. There were many other disappointments, and these seasons were the mirror images of this exercise. It would take some unexpectedly positive results for the 2025 Giants to play their best case, but it would also require a lack of unexpectedly negative results. Baseball is not always so courteous.

Nevertheless, teams with a quantity approach can go far. Giants fans don’t need anyone who explains it to them. You saw it. They remember teams so lovingly. It is true that the Giants do not have a murderer series of classic slugers, but they also have no line -up with players who shouldn’t be in the majors. You won’t find José Canseco in his heyday, but you won’t find Ozzie Canseco in decline either.

As early as 2012, the Giants lost the first two games of the NLDS at home, which meant that they had to win three in Cincinnati in a row to avoid elimination. While the feelings were still raw, I tried optimistic and realistic at the same time.

I like to use that New York Times Metals of perspective. That means what would be on the front page of the appearance New York Times Sports department? Perhaps there is a chance of 11 percent that the Giants in Cincinnati can win three games in a row, but it would not be the front page of the New York Times. “Good Team beats the Good Team three times in a row” is not a catchy heading.

The giants hit the red three times in a row and did not stop here. Now, over a decade later, I can still use the same rubric except that things have changed. I am now actually working for the New York Times Company. I can call an editor in the middle of the night and say: “Listen, the 2025 Giants have made the post -season. You have to put it on The athleteHomepage and send out push notifications. This is important. Trust me. These are news on the front page. Above the fold. “

Those responsible would ignore me. More than usual. It would simply not be enough. Something like this happens in every season. It would not be a man-bits-dog story, and it wouldn’t even be a dog-bites-man story. It would be a dog-licks-man-and-looks-sweetly stupid-it-IT story. The best scenario for the 2025 Giants is that they do the off -season and are in there. It’s not impossible!

It is not the most likely scenario, but it’s not impossible. And on the opening day you can treat yourself to optimism. Never take the opening day for granted. It’s like “The Surge”, but for happy thoughts. All happy thoughts are legal for one day. The Giants do not have the best squad in baseball, and you may not even have the third best roster in your division, but you have enough high -quality players on the squad to dream a little when the mood beats. Have fun with it and keep reality in the distance until you can no longer.

(Matt Chapman Topto: Justin Berl / Getty Images)